We are involved in a siege this weekend, which came about because someone found a C3 with D845 to hisec inhabited by carebears. Similar to the situation with GT Network, our man has been camping for 4 months, bringing people in to have a crack at the inhabitants in their pimped Sleipnirs and Rattlesnakes. However, the view was always towards a siege, as these people had left a Rorqual and an Archon sitting about in plain view.
We got the thing going post the Rubicon de-nerf of SMA drops, some with starry eyed enthusiasm for getting their mitts on a shiny ship or some faction loot. To be honest, it was slated for last week, but we were burned out after the eviction of GT Network, so here we are.
The tower was a long, but easy, pushover. Cruise missile batteries are pretty much useless at defending a POS against anything. I was tanking a set of 6 batteries, cycling on and off, in my Oracle with a single medium armour repairer. We even destroyed a warp scram in incapacitation, because we had the time to spare to burn through 10M EHP's.
However, the problem with sieging a corp which is "mostly AFK"and "mostly in highsec" is you don't get a fight. This has been borne out by the mass self-destruction of the ships in the POS by the two toons who appear to be in the hole. We suspect there's a few others who haven't logged on yet, but enthusiasm at camping for maybes and likely SD's is waning.
I have seen my fair share of slash and burn in the various sieges which I've been involved in. In fact, Sudden Buggery was a prolific siege instigator and content creator, which can be seen way back at the beginning of this blog. We would often see people pugnaciously declaring how much of a waste our efforts were while they were self-destructing their ships, which of course only filled up our tear-buckets. Few sieges we did even had a whiff of the looting about them. Well, aside from the one we actually made bank on.
This siege really is just confirming what I keep saying; you have to have a reason to siege, and the enemy have to have a reason and at least see an opportunity to defend themselves, for there to be any goodfights and less than 48 hours of basically wasted effort. Getting those fights, or indeed even getting the loot, is a skill which has many facets.
The key to getting a fight is finding people who are capable (enough), organised (enough) and have something they want to fight for. A plum C3 with hisec is attractive to some, especially if there's a few caps thrown in with the sale, and decent PI.
The problem with this siege is the AFKness and dissipation of our targets, I think. Trapping your foes out one by one is of course an objective of any siege, forcing them to stay behind and face the doomsday clock and make a last stand and a last-ditch run through to give the rescue blob a way in, only to have the door slammed in their faces.
A corp which comes pre-trapped out, which is mostly AFK? There's not much fight in them or fight left. It becomes a rationalisation exercise, stripping mods off ships, packing them in one last Orca, and logging it in a safe for a week. Then, again, the rational choice is to take the insurance payout from self-destructing, and deny the aggressor kills, glory and tears.
People will only fight is they believe there's even a little chance of success. They need to see a light at the end of the tunnel. Often you have to provide them that light at the end of the tunnel, via apparent ineptitude, keeping the main bulk of your forces hidden, or "careless" hole control.
Doing this properly is difficult when you can swiftly be on the end of a blob of wormhole mercs like SYJ, TRECI or, basically, anyone who is bored and feckless enough not to have anything else to do with their time. If this happens, and the batphone goes out, you may as well give up IMO, unless you want a 200 a side fuckfest. When you have starry eyed notions of getting your mitts on shinies, you don't want a blobphone event.
Negotiation and Mindgames
CEO's or leaders of corps often resolve their differences via negotiation. Certainly when the alliance i was with got dealt out of Delve the scrubs were lied to about the fact we would be fighting, right up until the Alliance XO's and leaders collected their blood money and sailed off into the sunset on boats loaded with treasure, flipping the bird at the guys who contributed to the whole sham by actually being the alliance. Bitter, much? Not really.
Part of the leader's job in sieges and conquests (and in being sieged and conquered) is to accept surrender or offer it. There's been some very interesting books written on the subject by military historians, and negotiated peace is the result in the vast majority of conflicts. In EVE, this is not so much the case, because of the immortality of the avatars and indeed, the corporations and alliances which can, often, rise anew from defeat. Take Nulli Secunda, for example; kicked out of various areas multiple times and still a strong, coherent and potent force - and indeed, it is so because it has survived and not failcascaded.
In the case of w-space sieges, where eviction (for sale or occupancy by the victor), destruction (due to bad blood), or boredom (why not?) dictate the majority of cases, the maths are a bit different again.
In the case of this siege, we have invested days (and months of alt-camping) already, hours of F1AFK Oracle sieging, bubble camping and so on. The goal is perhaps confused or poorly communicated, and certainly revolves around loot pinata and not goodfights. Thus, diplomatic efforts weren't really ever going to result in a less than total eviction outcome.
However, my point is that in the case of any siege my readership may find itself in, there are a lot of things you can do to create hope, albeit falsely, and engender fighting spirit in your foes, and indeed increase your chances of loot pinata. You have to be sly, cunning and disingenuous to your foes to do it, but if you want a fight or loot, you have to use social engineering to get what you want. After all, once you've warped on grid with your logis to start the siege, you have already won the shooting war. Or at least, you ought to have.